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A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage

Raya A. Al-Masri, Theodoros Spyridopoulos, Stylianos Karatzas, Vasiliki Lazari, Theo Tryfonas

Source Title: International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA)10(4)

ISSN: 2160-9772|EISSN: 2160-9799|EISBN13: 9781799858997|DOI: 10.4018/IJSDA.289431

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MLA

Al-Masri, Raya A., et al. "A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage." IJSDA vol.10, no.4 2021: pp.1-23. http://doi.org/10.4018/IJSDA.289431

APA

Al-Masri, R. A., Spyridopoulos, T., Karatzas, S., Lazari, V., & Tryfonas, T. (2021). A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage. International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), 10(4), 1-23. http://doi.org/10.4018/IJSDA.289431

Chicago

Al-Masri, Raya A., et al. "A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA) 10, no.4: 1-23. http://doi.org/10.4018/IJSDA.289431

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Abstract

In this paper the potential for conflict in the Middle East due to the depleting of regional water reserves is explored and the implications for regional policy making, in the light of other tensions are investigated. We use System Dynamics to develop a model for water resources management and explore via simulation issues that emerge as important, in order to highlight required policies. This analysis validates part of the existing thinking and policies in place and signifies further the need for transboundary cooperation and emphasis on areas that may not be viewed traditionally as key priorities (e.g. demand management, as opposed to continuity of supply).